Inflation; F. A. Harper

So the hoarding of money isn't likely to solve the present inflation problem, if it persists. Inflation means too much money. The way to prevent in flation, then, is to close down the money factory. It is just that sim ple. All the complicated gibberish one hears and reads about infla tion simply blocks an understand ing of the essentials of the prob lem - though it may impress the ignorant, or hide the negligence of those who are responsible for inflation by making the task of preventing inflation seem hopeless ly complicated.

1967 INFLATION 663 The Money Factory Where is the money factory? Who operates it? The money factory in our pres ent money system is operated by the Federal government, either di rectly or by farming it out to sub contractors under the control of government. 1 It makes paper money to replace that which has become dirty, or worn out. It makes new paper money to increase the supply. It makes pennies, nick els, and the other coins. It permits the banks to grant credit to bor rowers, which becomes money that is interchangeable with any of the other forms of money in use. But for purposes of seeing where responsibility lies in the in flation problem, we need not con cern ourselves with all these dif ferent kinds of money. It is neces sary only to say that at present all forms of money come out of the government factory, or are controlled by the government, un der a complete monopoly.

If anyone doubts the existence of this money monopoly by the government, he can test it by man ufacturing some money himself even one cent. He would then be charged with counterfeiting, and 1 Beyond· the scope of this analysis is the important question of alternative money systems, with advantages or dis advantages so far as the danger of in flation is concerned. be given a penitentiary sentence for having infringed on the monop oly. The policeman in this in stance is the one who holds the monopoly. The money monopoly is a strange one. We usually think of a monopoly as restricting output, which can then be sold at a much higher price. But in the money monopoly, the government can force the citizens to take the en tire output of its product. A Highly Profitable Monopoly Not only that, but the operation is highly profitable - nearly 100 per cent, or almost the entire price of the product. This is one clear case of an "excess profit" which the victimized customers are for~ed to pay.

If the money monopoly were not so profitable, there would be no inflation problem at this time. The profit incentive works with money and stimulates its produc tion, just as it does with anything else. In olden days when some otherwise useful commodity like gold, for instance, was used as money, anyone who wished could produce as much of it as he liked. The production of money was then legal and competitive, rather than being a crime as it is now. Its production was so costly in time and expense that the inefficient producers were crowded out, just 664 THE FREEMAN November as they are crowded out of the production of brooms or mouse traps. But it is not so with present day money, with the paper bills and deposits that make up most of our money of exchange. It doesn't cost much for the paper and ink and printing needed to make a $100 bill. It is probably the most profitable monopoly that ever existed, and the entire force of the Federal government is available to protect its monopoly against the infringement of pri vate counterfeiting.

When a private citizen counter feits money, the wrath of other citizens is aroused and they say: "He did no useful work to get that money, and yet he spends it in the market place, taking food, cloth ing, and other things away from those of us who have earned our money by working for it. He takes useful things out of the market without producing other useful things to go into the market, as we do. The effect of his chicanery is that prices go up and the rest of us receive less and less for our money." This is a correct statement of what happens under counterfeit ing. It is the reason for objecting to counterfeiting, because the coun terfeiter gets something for noth ing. And it is the reason for ob jecting to legal counterfeiting, too. If everybody tried to live off coun terfeit money, one would at once discover its effect in the extreme. There would be nothing to buy with the money and it would be completely worthless.

When the government makes new money and spends it, the ef fect on the supply of things in the market to be bought by civil ians with their earnings, and the effect on prices, is exactly the same as when any private counterfeiter does so. The only difference be tween the two is whether it is a private counterfeiter that gets benefits looted from others, or whether it is a counterfeiting gov ernment spending it on pet proj ects - projects that the citizens are unwilling to finance either by private investment or by tax pay ments. T.he Watered Punch Counterfeit money affects what you can get for your money in the market much like water affects the punch at a bring-your-own party. Each in attendance is to be allowed to dip into the punch bowl in proportion to the quantity of ingredients he has brought and dumped into it. All bring some pure ingredient wanted in the mixture. Now suppose that one person brings water, and dumps it in.

This dilutes the punch, but the 1967 INFLATION 665 person who does it is permitted to drink of the mixture the same as those who are being cheated. He gets something for nothing, and the rest get nothing for some thing by an equal amount. If everyone were to do the same as he has done, it would be perfectly clear what the adding of water does to the taste of the punch. So it is with counterfeit money, whether done privately or by the government. Why Government Inflates Money The government makes this new money in order to cover what it spends in excess of its income-its costs in excess of its tax revenues. The government makes up the shortage with the new money made in its monopolistic money factory. For our present pur poses, it makes no difference whether this is done with paper bills directly, or with bills which it obtains by issuing another form of paper money - government bonds - which are forced upon the banking system.

What the government does is like a counterfeiter who continu ously spends more than his earn ings, and who goes to his ba.se ment print shop each evening and makes enough counterfeit money to balance the shortage. His print shop might put out either paper money direct, or counterfeit bonds which he sells to the banks in ex change for the money; the effect would be the same in either in stance. Living Within Income The way-the only way-to stop this form of inflation is for the government to live within its in come. This can be done either by raising enough in taxes to meet its costs, or by paring down its costs to equal its income. In a family, the housewife may try the former method - nudging the husband to ask for a raise, or to hustle for more sales-but in the end the family must always re solve the problem by spending less than it would like to spend, and living within its income.

The government holds unlimited power to tax every family in the nation, and for decades has been raising more and more taxes, but it has never resolved the problem that way. It appears to have for gotten the possibility of reducing expenses as the means of living within its income and avoiding inflation. So we have had inflation almost continuously since 1931, and are now faced with its ac celeration. The only way to prevent infla tion is to prevent these govern mental deficits; to pay currently and in full all the expenses of gov ernment that we either demand or 666 THE FREEMAN November tolerate. To do this it is necessary either to increase taxes or to cut down the costs of government. We are only kidding ourselves if we say that we can avoid both taxes and governmental frugality, by inflation-financing of the excess of its costs over its income. Inflation a form of Tax Inflation of the type we are discussing is in reality a form of tax, not an alternative to taxes.

It is, in fact, perhaps the most pernicious form of tax, for the reason that it is not recognized as such. It can ply its evil way under cover of this ignorance, and with out the resistances and disciplines of a tax that is open and recog nized. We speak of direct and indirect taxes. Property taxes or income taxes which are paid by individ uals are direct taxes; only about one-third of all taxes are of this type where we can see them clear ly. Indirect taxes, making up the other twothirds, are collected at some point away from the con sumer, and become buried in the prices of the things we buy and the services we employ. All these direct and indirect taxes a.re at specific rates which are set by a governmental body charged with that responsibility. They decide what will be taxed, and how much. But with inflation, which is in reality also a tax, it is not these taxing bodies which designate the tax. It is a tax created by default.

When the spending part of govern ment outruns the taxing part, the difference is financed by govern mental counterfeit, by inflation which falls as a tax on each per son in the market place in the form of higher prices for what he buys. Everyone who uses money for buying in the market pays some of this form of tax. It is the close equivalent of a sales tax on everything. One who favors deficit spending-the inflation tax-should not be opposed to a sales tax im posed on all purchases of goods a.nd services, without exception. The only important difference is that the sales tax is known to be a tax, but the inflation-tax is thought to be avoidance or post ponement of the tax. Postponed Taxes a Myth This makes clear, I believe, why inflation is such a pernicious form of tax. People who would other wise protest and curb the extrav agances of government are lulled by the foolish notion that infla tion is a means of postponing pay ment of some of the current costs of government.

It is especially tempting to try to avoid taxes when the govern ment is spending with abandon for a "national emergency." It is 1967 INFLATION 667 then argued that "since the ex pensive projects of government are largely for the benefit of later gen erations," why shouldn't part of the costs be left for them to pay? This notion, as has been said, has become a steady habit in the United States. The truth is, however, that if the government this year dips into the national punch bowl of goods and services that are produced and available, what it takes out and squanders this year is not there for others this year. The more government takes and squan ders this year, the less someone ,vill get back this year compared with what he produces. Why, if we ignore the minor item of foreign trade balances, is it believed that a nation can post pone this year's cost of govern ment? Probably it is the presence of money that confuses us. If we were to think only of punch and potatoes and things-exchanged by barter - we would not be confused, because we would then realize that we cannot eat potatoes this year which are to be grown next year.

A whole nation of persons can't go on year after year consuming more than it has to consume. It can't do it for one year, or even for one day. It can't do it by allow ing inflation, or by any other means. Failure to realize that in flation is a form of tax leads to the false belief that inflation af fords a means of postponing some of the costs of government. But it can't be done. If it were possible for a whole nation to postpone one-third of this year's cost of government un til next year, why not postpone half of it? All of it? And if it is possible to postpone it until next year, why not postpone it for two years? Ten? Forever? If this were possible, we would not need to wait for utopia. We could have it now! Government Fights Government: The Inflation Fighters Our present situation comes in to clearer focus when it is real ized that infiati on is a form of tax. A part of the costs of government are paid for by what is commonly called taxes, in both direct and hidden forms, levied by the taxing part of government. The remain der of the costs of government is paid for by the inflation-tax, which is in reality levied by the appropriations part of government over the protest of the taxing part of government, which has refused to raise all the taxes needed to cover all appropriations. This re sults in inflation, and prices rise.

There then is said to arise "need" for another big project in government, the "inflation fight ers." A big force of lawyers, econ omists,. and policemen are hired.

668 THE FREEMAN November They organize the citizens into com munity inflation-fighting gangs, to lend an appearance of local re spectability to the endeavor. These local organizations also insure that neighbors will be enrolled to serve as policemen over their neighbors, in the front line trenches where the fiercest fighting is most likely to occur. Why does all this new machinery seem to be necessary? What are they doing? The new branch of government is set up for the pur pose of fighting the payment of the inflation-tax that has been as sessed by another branch of gov ernment-the appropriations divi sion. It would be as logical to have the government set up a big unit in Washington, with citizens com mittees and all that, to conduct a tax revolt against the payment of income taxes - to fight the Inter nal Revenue branch of the Treas ury Department. Economic Quaclc:ery Every illusion floats on a plau sibility.

Quack medical doctors attack the most vivid symptom with something that is plausible to the suffering patient. The treatment may be to throw cold water on a fevered patient, or to throw hot water on one with chills. The quack doctor may use two ther mometers - one that does not rise above 98.6 degrees which he uses for fever patients, and another that does not fall below that point which he uses for chill patients to "prove" that his "cure" has been effective. A quack engineer might try to prevent an explosion by adj usting the pressure gauge downward or closing the safety valve. Or a quack railroad engineer might try to prevent a wreck by adjusting the speed gauge downward instead of reducing the speed. All these are silly, indeed, but no more silly than their equiva lents in the economic field. "Price control to prevent inflation" is also silly. The only reason why the medical plausibilities seem more silly than these economic ones is that medicine is further advanced and more widely understood. The economic mistakes we are now bringing upon ourselves may one day appear to our descendants to be just as foolish as the medical superstitions of old now appear to us.

Freezing the Price Thermometer 'iVhen there is inflation, prices rise. It would appear, then, that inflation is caused by rising prices. And this is the weapon of plausi bility selected by the price-control part of government to justify its fight against the appropriations part: "The way to fight inflation 1967 INFLATION 669 is simple - just establish price controls, and prohibit prices from rising." There are two ways, in general, to test the truth of a proposal like this, and to prevent the practice of quackery: (1) judging from ex perience, and (2) reasoning to the right answer. By both of these tests, price control is shown to be economic quackery. Lessons from History There has been a wealth of his torical experience with price con trols. In fact, a recent archaeologi cal discovery reveals that the old est known· laws in the world were price control laws - 3,800 years ago in ancient Babylonia.

One of the best summaries of historical experience with price controls is easily accessible to gov ernmental officials and others. In 1922, Mary G. Lacy, Librarian of the government's Bureau of Agri cultural Economics, addressed the Agricultural History Society un der the title: "Food Control Dur ing Forty-six Centuries." She pointed out how her search of history over this entire period re vealed repeated attempts in many nations to curb by law the infla tionary rises of price. She said: The results have been astonishing ly uniform .... The history of gov ernment limitation of price seems to teach one clear lesson: That in attempting to ease the burdens of the people in a time of high prices by artificially setting a limit to them, the people are not relieved but only exchange one set of ills for another which is greater .... The man, or class of men, who controls the sup ply of essential foods is in posses sion of supreme power .... They had to exercise this control in order to hold supreme power, because all the people need food and it is the only commodity of which this is true.

But we need not go so far back into history, and to a foreign land, for evidence. During World War II we were experiencing some of the vivid consequences of these controls in the form of the "meat famine."· It was not a true short age of meat at all. The trouble was that controls were preventing its exchange, all along the lines of trade from producer to consumer. This was only one small sample of the consequences of those wartime controls. How short are our memo'• ?rles. Free Price Is Economic Governor Some may be tempted to ignore this long history of failure of price controls on grounds that "condi tions are now different." Then they evidently do not understand the reasons why price controls must always fail. These reasons are perhaps the best test of whether they are likely to fail of their avowed purpose this time.

670 THE FREEMAN November It is impossible to consume something that has not been pro duced, and it is foolish to produce something that is not going to be consumed - to throw it away, or let it rot. It follows, then, that a balance between what is produced and what is consumed is-the most desirable condition - if, in fact, it is not economically imperative to have this balance. How is this bal ance of "supply" and "demand" to be attained? Under a condition of price free dom, those who produce and those who consume will resolve this problem peacefully. The means by which they do it can best be visu alized by the use of a chart, sim plified for purposes of illustration. The details, shown here as equal changes in price and quantities, differ from one product or service to another and change with pass ing time. But despite these differ ences, the principles we shall de rive apply to each product; and they apply whether the price is controlled directly by government or by any other form of monopoly.

These are the principles of price - free and controlled - as revealed by the accompanying chart. 1. Reductions in price cause in creases in the quantities wanted (on the chart, five times as much at 10 cents as at 50 cents). 2. Reductions in price cause de creases in the quantities offered (one-fifth as much at 10 cents as at 50 cents). 3. Supply and demand are equal at only one point - the free mar ket price (30 cents) ; higher prices always cause surpluses (four fifths remaining unsold at 50 cents) ; lower prices always cause shortages (four-fifths of the de mand not supplied at 10 cents). 4. Trading and the economic welfare of both producers and con sumers are greatest at the free market price, and are prevented as prices are forced either higher or lower. The only instance in which "price fixing" fails to have these consequences is where it is set at 1967 INFLATION 671 the free market level (30 cents), in which event the governmen,tal edict is a sham because that is where the price would be in the absence of this pointless edict.

This is the point where people are freely acting in response to the inexorable signals of the market place. Yet, doing business at this price becomes "lawlessness" and "irresponsibility" by edict when price control sets it elsewhere. Prices that are rigged very high or very low will kill off practically all trading. Attempts to stimulate production, consumption, and trad ing by forced labor, socializing of property, and subsidies to pro ducers and consumers are all awk ward attempts to replace the per formance of people in a free mar ket. Under controls, those near the source of supply get most of it, and those at a distance have to go without. Black markets spring up. Distant consumers try to get some of the supply. Confusion increases and tempers mount. More and more price policemen are hired who, instead of producing useful things, try to quell the confusion and chaos. The bill for their sal aries and other costs is sent to the unfortunate victims of the con trols.

The simple chart at left reveals the answer to the question: Will price control stop inflation? All history has shown it to have failed. There is only one point of price where supply and demand are in balance, where both short age and surplus are avoided, where trade is most peaceful, and where welfare is at a maximum. If this incontestable fact is understood, the belief that we can escape real ity by enacting price control laws must be dispelled as an illusion. From Price Lies to Rationing Price control really means that laws are pa.ssed to make official prices tell lies. One of the penalties for the lying is the creation of shortages that cannot be peace fully resolved. The shortage, once created, must be dealt with by further powers of government and law. There must be "rationing" -ra tioning by the government of the shortage it has created by law, rationing of goods and services to individuals because the govern ment failed to limit the output of its money factory.

When the free market is allowed to operate and to set the price at a point where supply and demand will equate, each person will have purchase tickets in the market which correspond to the supply of something he puts into the market. Gifts, of course, are an exception; but in the case of gifts, the rights to draw 'on the market are still 672 THE FREEMAN November given by the person who supplied the market with something to be bought. These purchase rights are tickets of merit based on produc tion. And the whole thing balances out,as we have said, peacefully. When the government inter venes with price control laws, this balance is no longer maintained. There are now more tickets for things than there are things to redeem. There are shortages cre ated by law. Then governmental rationing seems to be needed, whereby government officials are empowered to decide·who shan get the short supplies. This substitutes political considerations for the merit of production under a free price in a free market.

Laws That Promote Dishonesty Not only do government-con trolled prices lie, but the process also rapidly promotes dishonesty among all groups - merchants, pro ducers, consumers, government employees, everybody. The tempta tion of bribery of government offi cials becomes great. Late during World War II, a grocer of extreme ly high integrity and wide experi ence, told me that it was absolutely impossible for anyone to practice honesty according to the law and still stay in that business under price controls. The reason for this should be clear when we consider the legislated falseness and interference with business operations that become involved. If this nation is to carry a role of moral leadership in the world, it will have to be founded on the morality of individual persons. And this is destroyed by such laws. The shortages that result from price and wage controls are purely a legal creation, created by the price control law and nothing else.

In an otherwise free economy, the "success" of any price control law can be measured by the extent of the shortage it creates, or the de cline in production which it causes. And if such controls were complete and effective, they would probably stop all production for trade, which uses money. This conclusion is in escapable. Under present conditions of in flation, caused by rampant govern mental spending - with laws aimed at the symptoms of inflation rather than dealing with its causethe time is short for making an im portant choice. Its nature is indi cated by what Lenin allegedly said in 1924: "Some day we shall force the United States to spend itself into destruction." And Lord Keynes reports: "Lenin is said to have declared that the best way to destroy the Capitalist System was to debauch the currency. By a con tinuing process of inflation, gov ernments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part 1967 INFLATION 673 of the wealth of their citizens."

Lenin probably knew that price and other controls - one of the main objectives of the system he favored - would then be imposed. Unless the price control law is rescinded, its disrupting influence will lead to governmental enslave ment of all labor and confiscation of all production facilities - to adopt, in other words, a completely socialist-communist system which we are presumably opposing. A Strange Dilemma: Lawlessness or Socialism The only escape from the con sequences of these laws would seem to be for the citizens to ignore them. This means lawlessness, technically, in the form of black market operations and all the other forms of evasion. This places the honest citizen who favors hu man liberty in a strange dilemma. He must choose between practic ing lawlessness in this technical sense, or supporting a socialist communist regime. If we add to a moral breakdown of the people, the confusion that is created when illusions and wish ful thinking bump up against economic laws which cannot be re voked by man-made laws, and add to this the animosity that grows under these conditions and the utter distrust of one another that is aroused, then the prospect is too sobering to be ignored.

A step in the direction of tak ing away the government's mo nopoly in the production of money, and restricting government to the judicial aspects of exchange, would be to compel· the govern ment to live within its income. This means limiting government expendi tures, strictly and abso lutely, to taxes that are openly acknowledged to be taxes. It means prohibition of the concealed and deceptive tax of inflation. If this were to be done, there no longer would be an inflation prob lem of the type we now have. If this were to be done, there no longer would be any excuse for the enactment of socialist-communist measures - these deceptive proc esses of legalized price fictions and interference with exchange. If this were to be done, it no longer would be "neecssary" to give up our liberty under futile controls aimed at the consequences of inflation rather than at its cause. Ruthless measures are called for after the citizens have allowed their servant - government - to become their master. But it is better to be ruthless and success ful in preventing inflation than to become the victims of both ruth lessness and failure. ~ Taxation Theory W. M. CURTISS TAX EXPERTS long have theorized about the raising of money for various units and functions of government.