Chapter 30 of 30 · The Skyscraper Curse: And How Austrian Economists Predicted Every Major Economic Crisis of the Last Century by Mark Thornton
Index
ABCT (Austrian business cycle theory), 7, 10, 13–15, 20–21, 37, 43–44, 46–47, 50–51, 53–54, 62–63, 68, 70, 76, 106, 111, 125, 132, 168, 186, 192, 195–96, 200–201, 203–4, 214, 216, 221–27, 229
Abu Dhabi, 18
Acampora, Ralph J., 151
acquisitions, 52, 70–71, 159
activist strategy, 123
Affordable Care Act, 233
aggregate demand, 43, 217
Alabama, 5, 16, 77–79, 95, 182, 200
alcohol prohibition, 112, 115
Alexander, Magnus, 113
Alwaleed, Prince, 82
Amazon, 49–50
Amazon stock, 50
American dream, 183
American economy, 36, 93, 122, 126, 160–61
American Institute for Economic Research, 151
American stock market, 165, 170
American Surety Building, 34
America’s Great Depression, 37, 111, 212–13
America’s Second Great Depression, 211
economic, 107, 166, 176
microeconomic, 103
skyscraper-curse, 103
analysts, 50, 148, 165, 167
Anderson, Benjamin, 120, 226
Anderson, William, 162–63
announcement dates, 87, 91–92
apartments, 45, 95–96, 182, 200
shortages of, 45
apoplithorismosphobia, 218
Applied Economics, 19–20
architects, 67, 71, 73
out-of-control, 78
Arkansas, 101–3
Arrison, Thomas S., 138
art prices, world-record-breaking, 78
Asian contagion, 39, 81
Asian Financial Crisis of 1997–98, 38–39, 92
Askari, Hossein, 237
asset prices, 53, 189, 197, 224, 238
assets, price of, 50–51
Austrian analysis, 168
answer, 222
extended, 14
approach, 193
Austrian business cycle theory, 10, 13–14, 43–44, 62, 68, 70, 106, 111, 125, 132, 168, 186, 192, 216, 221–24, 226, 229
Austrian camp, 194
Austrian economists, 20–21, 48–49, 54, 107, 122, 131, 134, 166, 191–93, 201, 223, 226, 229
focus, 46
predicted, 6, 109, 167
Austrian explanation, 222
Austrian macroeconomics, 14
Austrian policy approach, 222
Austrian and mainstream economists, 48
Austrian school of economics, 5, 10, 13–14, 20, 21, 120, 131, 135, 156, 166, 169, 187, 192, 226
modern, 168
definition of money, 199
economists, 21, 147, 192, 213
view of entrepreneurs, 54
Austrians winning, 120
Bacon, Francis, 78
bailouts, 40, 44, 204, 213, 217–18, 222
taxpayer, 184, 203
Baker, Dean, 148–49, 167, 191
balanced budgets, 127, 218
Baltic Dry Shipping Index, 29
bankers, 16–17, 60, 73, 79, 128, 225, 228
central, 53, 162, 231
banking
central, 196, 229, 233, 235
failures, 37, 177, 216
fractional reserve, 157, 164, 194, 225
bank reserves, 63, 197, 230
injecting, 196
bankruptcies, 32, 62–63, 168, 177, 184, 186, 196, 202–4, 222, 238
banks
big, 65–66, 106
foreign central, 124
important, 37, 216–17
large Austrian, 111
Baring Crisis, 33
Barr, Jason, 19, 87–94
Basquiat, Jean-Michel, 49
behavioral-finance economists, 43
Bernanke, Ben, 37, 188–89, 216–17, 226, 231
Bitcoin, 237
Bloom, Justin L., 138
Boehlje, Michael, 103
Böhm-Bawerk,Eugen von 13–14, 21, 118, 168, 196
Bohr, Niels, 145
bonds, 51, 66, 128, 174, 201, 228, 237
boom
artificial, 99
capital-oriented, 37
consumption, 223
cycle, 171
credit-induced, 161
enormous, 83
extraordinary, 189
general, 173
giant, 197
inflationary, 133
market, 225
normal, 204
period, 10
phase, 19, 40, 51, 74, 91, 230
rampant, 134
stock-market, 159
sustained, 38
time, 153
borrowers, 14, 29, 44, 50, 196, 203, 225
Brady, Nicholas, 170
Brazil, 81
Bretton Woods, 33, 38, 66, 120, 124, 126, 128, 131–32
Brisbane, Arthur, 114
Brooks, John, 124–26
Bubble burst, 158, 186, 205
Bubble-Bust, 6, 137, 139, 141, 143
bubble conditions, 194
Bubble predictions, 6, 148
bubbles
asset, 53, 201–2
asset-price, 170
burst, 163, 165, 170, 186–87
bursting, 159, 164, 186, 188, 193, 202, 206, 208
cause, 196
colossal, 170
dotcom, 81
dot-com, 9, 38, 199
economic, 82, 113, 185
greatest financial, 154
housing price, 193
long history of, 165, 170
speculative, 43, 165, 187
stock, 149
stock price, 188
tech, 33, 39
technology, 190, 200
budget deficits, large government, 138
building
first office, 32
four-story, 31
record-height, 13
record-setting, 31
skyscraper-cursed, 103
Building Announcement Record Opening, 33
building height, 15, 31, 72, 96
local-record-breaking, 95
building systems, 71–73
bull market, 156, 158, 163, 173, 175
current, 152–53, 158
bureaucrats, 11, 143
Burj Dubai tower, 17–18, 39–40
Burj Khalifa tower, 18, 33, 40, 72, 82, 87
Burns, Arthur F., 133
Bush, Irving, 113
business cycles
and bubbles, 137
boom/bust, 229
causes, 19, 67
century’s, 40
contractions, 213
current, 170
expansions, 212
historical, 222
pattern, 123
peaks, 87
predicting, 21
skyscraper cause, 26
twentiteth-century, 40
business cycle theories, 13, 20, 40, 43–44, 120, 134, 214
economic, 54
modern mainstream, 214
political, 28–29, 43
real, 20, 43, 50, 219, 222
business cycle theorists, real, 44, 213
bust
complete, 17
dotcom, 199
economic, 57, 215
financial, 26
inevitable, 75, 163, 193
next, 84
bust phase, 40, 51, 224
busts result, 148
calculations, 16, 73–74, 118, 212
Canada, 90
Cantillon, Richard, 15, 48, 59–62, 147, 168, 196
Cantillon Effects, 5, 15, 59–63, 67, 70, 73, 85, 97, 107, 168
and business cycles, 67
in Skyscrapers, 5, 65, 67, 69, 71, 73, 75
on skyscrapers, 68
Cantillon tradition, 168
capacity, 62, 71–72, 125, 145
capital, 20, 38–40, 47–48, 52, 56, 66, 68–70, 73, 127, 160, 186, 198, 237
capital gains, 164, 191, 198, 225, 237
capital goods, 46–47, 51, 53, 56–57, 62–63, 107, 230
nonspecific, 47
capitalism, 25, 35, 86, 155, 186, 205
modern global, 40
capitalists, 14
capital theory, 134, 196
cash, 45–46, 124, 174, 198
Cato Institute, 135
caveats, significant, 20
CBO (Congressional Budget Office), 149–51
central bank
balance sheets, 230
controls, 157
policies, 156
regime, 237
central bank’s central bank supervisory powers, 157
central business districts, 69–70, 79, 96–99
ceremonies, groundbreaking, 21, 26, 30, 81–83, 87
charts, 17, 179
long-term, 209
ordinary price, 126
Cheney, David W., 138
Chicago school, 43, 187, 219
Chrysler Building, 37
Civil War, 225, 230
Clinton, Bill, 162
clusters, 33–34, 70, 88, 202
next, 36
next major, 38
next skyscraper, 34
temporal, 221
cointegration tests, 90–91
commerce, 40, 59–60, 168
commodities, 117, 227–28
basic, 181
commodity prices, 116–17, 159, 164, 182, 226, 228
higher, 181
Communism, 205
competition, 48, 54, 56, 141, 157, 165
complexities, 14, 20, 44, 46–47, 93, 106
computer chips
advanced, 53
new advanced, 52
confidence, 114, 186, 205
little, 30
confident, 123, 186, 189, 205
Conservative economists, 219
conservatives, 132
construction
companies, 78–79, 81, 182
employment, 202
industry, 202, 225
new, 195
workers, 38, 52, 78, 193
construction booms, 26, 192
commercial, 74
construction-related industries, 193, 204
consumer prices, 53, 154, 228
higher, 65
consumers, 11, 46–47, 52–53, 62, 124, 195, 218, 224, 232
consumption, 47, 50–51, 57, 160–61, 174, 179, 198, 202, 222–24
goods, 51–53
increased, 52–53
national, 88
contractions, 36, 44, 92, 102, 161, 211–12
largest, 34, 93
real economic, 148
severe, 103, 135
correct predictions, 147, 166
correlation, 10, 19, 26, 90
close, 105
Corrigan, Sean, 160, 167
corruption, 112, 125, 143
costs, 29, 32, 40, 53, 56, 70, 73, 79, 95–96, 99, 116, 182, 232, 235
commuting, 97–98
lower, 55, 69–70, 116
opportunity, 13, 68–69, 98, 227
significant economic, 166
CPI (Consumer Price Index), 53, 124, 180, 182–83, 201–2, 226, 228
credit conditions, easy, 19, 54–55, 70
credit creation, 155, 160, 162
credit markets, 34, 36, 225
crime, 96, 112
crisis, 15–16, 33, 39–40, 82, 105–6, 119–20, 126, 134, 150, 153, 155, 185, 200, 205–6, 213, 219, 222, 229
critics, 223–24, 226
currencies, 60, 124, 135, 143, 199, 228, 230
depreciating, 232–33
curse, 18, 20, 26, 30–31, 35–36, 93–94, 105, 107
cycles, 19–20, 34, 40, 44, 74–75, 88, 91–92, 119, 133, 153, 177, 199–200
first skyscraper, 39
next, 75
next skyscraper, 38
skyscrapers and business, 14–15, 19, 26, 97, 195
dairies, 56–57
dampen inflationary price pressures, 208
dates
completion, 19, 84, 87–88, 90, 103
ground-breaking, 92
opening, 92
debt
amount of, 232
consumer, 53
credit card, 53
rising, 202
student, 78
total, 202
debt burden, 46, 232
debt-cycle theories, 43
Deden, Anthony, 154
deficit spending, 44, 143, 231
deflation, 32, 116, 157, 184, 218, 234–35, 238
delusions, 143, 170
demand deposits, 199, 230, 237
demographic crisis, 144
deregulation, financial, 157
design, 15, 48–49, 67
designers, 71–72
Detroit Marriott, 102
DiLorenzo, Thomas, 234
dirty little secret, 181–82
distortions, 14–15, 48, 84–85, 107, 154–55, 160, 166, 221, 225
Dodd-Frank, 233
dot-coms, 39, 200
dot-com tech bubble, 186
Dow Jones, 116, 125–26, 137, 151–52, 169, 173
Dow Jones Commodity Index, 181
downturns
economic, 18, 29, 38, 71, 219
predicting important, 30
Dubai, 17–18, 39
East Asia, 38–39
Easy-credit policies, 225
ECB (European Central Banks), 231
Econometrics, 222
Econometrics Society, 145
econometric techniques, new, 94
economic activity, 13, 19, 28, 32, 38, 44, 211
economic boom, 10, 26, 44, 112, 163, 187
longest, 162
unsustainable, 91
economic conditions, 83, 87, 141, 166
economic crises
important, 229
major, 6, 13, 18, 21, 26, 35, 91–93, 105–6, 109
regarding, 107
severe, 88, 105, 111
economic crisis
next, 21, 72
ordinary, 213
significant, 26, 83
economic depression, 17–18, 121, 126, 132, 135, 211–12
next, 120
economic expansions, 30, 60, 102–3, 121–22, 212
current, 163
global, 29
long, 121
economic growth, 51–52, 59, 65, 75, 106, 131, 163, 202, 215, 230, 238
extended, 111
normal, 159, 211
plucked, 215
rapid, 141
significant, 38
economic indicators, 27, 29–30
coincidental, 28
economic policies, 28, 113, 123, 133, 147–48, 156, 204, 211–12
new, 124
economic problems, 39, 71, 74, 141, 229, 236
economics
fascist-style, 120
mainstream, 16, 43, 47–48, 60
mundane, 14
economic slump, 36, 93, 144
severe, 156–57
economics profession, 9, 121, 166
economics teachers, 22
economic theory, 15, 20, 43, 60, 97, 106, 125, 147, 196, 211, 213
Economist magazine, 167
economists, new, 6, 121, 123–25, 127, 129, 134
economy
agricultural, 34, 102
real, 14, 20, 48, 62
service, 34, 50
world, 18, 86, 118
Egyptian pyramids, 31
elevators, 31–32, 71–72, 79
Elias, David, 151, 167
Empire State Building, 37, 74
employment, 44, 98, 121, 202, 234
Engelhardt, Lucas, 89, 94–99, 103
entrepreneurs
creative, 157
estimate, 68
formula, 74
rational, 224
entrepreneurship, 168
Equitable Life Assurance Building in New York City, 32
equity, 178–79, 184, 198, 203
cash out, 198
extract, 177–79, 195
extracting, 184, 204
eras, 125, 230
antebellum, 230
free-banking, 232
modern, 196
new, 111–13, 116, 125, 139, 177, 182, 190, 195
standard, 197
Europe, 36, 77, 81, 93, 138–39, 156, 228
European Central Banks (ECB), 231
evidence
anecdotal, 101, 180
empirical, 16, 61, 94, 221–22
macro, 180
secondary, 94
statistical, 19, 126
expansion, 36, 38, 40, 44, 63, 70, 91, 102, 119, 128, 150, 211
expansionary monetary policy, 37, 54, 160, 224–25
exports, agricultural, 32, 103
factories, 14, 40, 52–53, 160
factors, psychological, 50, 68, 91, 113, 187, 189–90
Fannie Mae, 51, 183, 185, 194, 198, 206
farmers, 34, 46, 56, 61
farms, 14, 56
FDR, 216, 231
fear, 25, 78, 117, 154, 169, 186–87, 205–6
Federal Reserve, adopted, 35
Federal Reserve Act, 34, 112, 230
Federal Reserve Bank, 155, 169–70, 187, 192
Federal Reserve District Bank presidents, rotating, 236
Federal Reserve intervention, 197
Federal Reserve’s policies, 120
Federal Reserve System’s Influence, 233
Fed-induced bubble, 173
Fed’s Open Market Committee (FOMC), 79, 236
fiat monies, 155
financial analysts, 148–49
financial crisis, 9–11, 39, 59, 204, 209, 214, 216, 218–19, 224, 231, 233
financing, 82, 87, 139, 158, 165, 198
easy, 75–76
Fisher, Irving, 9, 43, 111, 115–20, 153, 226
Fisk, James, 32
Fleckenstein, William A., 153
FOMC (Fed’s Open Market Committee), 79, 236
Forbes, Myron, 113
forecasters, 147, 149–50, 166, 194
forecasting, 32, 93, 106, 147, 149, 167
economic, 117, 147
forecasts, 18, 21, 86–87, 90, 146–47, 150, 167
economic, 146
Freddie Mac, 51, 185, 198, 203
free market, 76, 163, 169, 180, 194, 230
Friedman, Milton, 37, 133, 215–17
Friedmanite economists, 134
Gallaway, Lowell, 21
Gandhi, Mahatma, 223
gasoline, 47, 181, 227
gasoline shortages, 38, 126
GDP (Gross Domestic Product), 19, 28, 87–89, 137, 144, 146, 151, 161, 175, 232
Glaeser, Edward, 27
Glassman, James, 150–52, 167, 169
global economic crisis, worst, 204
global economy, 29, 212
weak, 103
GNP, 121
real, 34, 36, 92–93
gold
classical, 118, 124, 230
hoarding, 237
new, 60
people want, 132
post-WWII Bretton Woods, 230
price of, 32, 227
pseudo, 227–28
reserve, 237–38
traditional, 119
gold banks, 237
gold bonds, 237
Gold Commission, 135
monetarist-packed US, 135
gold dollars, 236, 238
gold exchange, 230
gold standard, 237, 239
goods
consumer, 238
finished producer, 182
import, 238
imported, 62
intermediate, 182
luxury, 79
price of, 181, 202
Gould, Jay, 32
government
arrogance, 163
bureaucracy, 186
bureaucrats, 142
centralization, 205
failure, 185–86, 201, 203
giant, 204
federal, 50, 127, 175, 198, 217, 230, 238
meddling, 214
policies, 21, 142
regulations, 67, 236
shrinking, 213
size of, 123, 205, 214
small, 143
spending, 47, 132, 175, 230–32
government bonds, 45, 66, 196, 231, 239
government intervention, 27, 36, 75, 158, 187, 230, 235, 238
significant, 219
Gramm, Phil, 66
Grant, James, 25, 117, 153–54, 167, 171, 214
Great Depression, 6, 36–38, 81, 86, 102, 111, 113, 115, 117–19, 123, 126, 211–13, 215, 217, 222
Greenspan, Alan, 6, 9, 55, 149, 162, 169–70, 178–82, 184, 188–89, 192, 197–98, 208–9, 216
Grimes, William W., 138
growth, deflation and economic, 218
Haberler, Gottfried, 223
Harding, Warren G., 213–14
Hayek, Friedrich, 14, 62, 120, 122, 131, 134–35, 168, 196, 223, 226
Hayekian Analysis, 222
Hazlitt, Henry, 131–32
height, record-breaking, 92
heights, new, 36, 71
Helmut, Jahn, 67
Herbener, Jeffrey, 213, 222
Higgs, Robert, 166
higher prices, 62, 65, 152, 159, 184, 190, 226–27
high prices, 227–28
historians, economic, 34, 36, 65
history textbooks, 35, 213
Holcombe, Randall G., 15–16, 200
Holman Jenkins, 169
home construction, 177, 180, 188, 193, 195
home mortgages, 79, 161, 185, 198–99
homeowners, 177, 179, 182, 185, 195, 198, 203–4
home prices, 181, 183–84, 188–89, 200
Hong Kong, 38, 90
Hoover, Herbert, 112–13, 115, 213
housing, investment in, 179, 199
housing boom, 16, 178, 189
housing bubble, 193, 200
current, 194
destructive, 10
massive, 15
housing construction, 175, 177, 191, 193, 195
housing market, 178, 184, 187–89, 194–95, 199, 202, 204–6, 209
housing market bubble, 16
housing prices, 16, 96, 180–81, 183, 185, 187–88, 190, 200, 228
Howden, David, 35, 237
Hülsmann, Guido, 155–56, 167,
Huxtable, Ada Louise, 25, 67
hydraulic version, 223
hyperinflation, 156, 232, 239
implications, 117, 138, 148, 189
income distribution, 61, 127, 229
increased demand, 62, 97–98
Index of Leading Economic Indicators, 29
indicators, 27–29, 32, 40, 83, 106, 126, 142, 145, 157, 181, 195
coincidental, 28
inequality, 61, 66
artificial, 230, 239
economic, 65, 128–29, 229
inflation
accelerating, 134
fight, 150
galloping, 132
high, 212
higher, 150
little, 226
low, 155
measured, 182
modern, 197
rising, 162
inflationary, 128, 228
innovation, 67, 71, 73, 139
interest
lower rates of, 68–70, 73
market rate of, 14, 44, 160, 196–97
natural rate of, 44, 196–97
interest income, 46, 51, 57, 66
interest rate manipulation, 66
interest rate policy, 49, 135, 201, 232–33
zero, 216–17, 227
interest rate setting policies, 106
internet, 149, 162, 165
intervention, 10, 44, 93, 168, 196
money market, 155
interventionist, 213
interventions, wild, 9
Inverted yield curve, 29
investments
bad, 74, 185, 193, 196
channel, 139
diminished, 217
good, 183
largest, 51
longer-term, 46
misguided, 106
new, 161, 190
shorter-term, 46
investors
bond, 66
desensitizing, 168
pointed, 194
potential, 164
reassured, 115
stabilized economy desensitizes, 192
tricked, 190
Israel, Karl Friedrich, 235
Japanese bubble, 137–38, 140, 142, 159
Japanese economy, 139–40, 143, 213
Japanese stock markets, 30, 140, 177
Jeddah Tower in Saudi Arabia, 21, 82–84
Jordan, Jerry, 167, 169
Journal of Applied Economics, 19–20, 87, 89–90, 93
academic journal, 19
Kadlec, Charles W., 151, 167
Kane, Edward, 74
Kaza, Greg, 36, 101–3, 167, 169
Kennedy, Robert, 32
Keynes, John Maynard, 217
Keynesian and Friedmanite economists, 134
Keynesian approaches, 16
Keynesian business cycle theories, 50
Keynesian camp, 191
Keynesian economics, 120–23, 213
Keynesian economists, 189, 192
Keynesian economists and mainstream economists, 218
Keynesian/Hayekian, 167
Keynesian ideology, 213, 226
Keynesianism, 213
Keynesianization, 121
Keynesian policy prescriptions, 228
Keynesians, 43, 59, 133, 141, 164, 187, 190, 192, 203, 217, 219
Keynesian school of economics, 217
Keynesian theories, 20, 44, 123
Kingdom Tower, 72, 82
Klein, Peter, 14, 235
Koch, Charles, 135
Kodama, Fumio, 139
Koons, Jeff, 49
Koppett, Leonard, 28
Krichene, Noureddine, 237
Krugman, Paul, 144, 191–92, 217–19, 223
Kyoung Sun Moon, 72
labor, 11, 36, 47–48, 51–52, 56, 62, 65, 98, 186, 193, 201
laissez-faire, 204, 222
land, price of, 52, 68, 79
land prices, 15, 26, 68–70, 96–97, 99
land values, 68–69, 74–75
Lao Tzu, 145
Lastrapes, William D., 234
Lawrence, Andrew, 13, 17, 19, 26, 31, 34–36, 39–40, 90, 105
laws, rent-control, 45
Lehrman, Lewis, 135
lenders, 29, 198, 203, 235
lending standards, 56, 189
lower, 46
Lereah, David, 181
Liebowitz, Stan J., 165
Lindley Clark, 146
loanable funds, 45, 196, 225
loans
bank, 51, 63
commercial, 66
consumer, 66, 195
home equity, 194
home-equity, 174
interest-free, 66
mortgage, 203
short-term, 79, 236
variable-rate, 184, 204
location, 46, 68–69, 94–96, 98, 201
long-term interest rates, 17, 29, 208
lower interest rates, 46, 52, 68, 70, 79, 96, 189, 196, 217, 223
low interest rates, 19, 44–45, 49–50, 52–55, 67, 69–70, 73, 75–76, 79, 85–86, 88, 91, 95, 97, 138, 178–79, 182, 185, 194–95, 221, 224–25, 227, 231
Lucas, Robert, 37
Mackay, Charles, 143
macroeconomics, 16, 233–34
mainstream economists, 20–21, 48–49, 53, 61, 65, 106–7, 115, 126–27, 144, 180–81, 187, 196, 218, 223–26, 238
mainstream theories, 20, 44, 47, 54, 171
malinvestments, 40, 53–55, 63, 67, 86, 107, 134, 163–64, 168, 221, 231
Manhattan, 33, 49, 87, 228
Manhattan Life Insurance Building, 34, 93
manufacturing, 34, 37, 40, 138, 193
Margolis, Stephen, 165
market boom, current stock, 158
market crash, great stock, 115
market economy, 10–11, 14, 117, 122, 238
free, 120, 139, 143, 226
market failures, 216
market forces, 168, 236
markets
bond, 228
financial, 157
market value, 47, 116, 183
Marx, Karl, 86
Marxist theories, 43
Masonic Temple, 34
Mayer, Christopher, 152, 167, 180, 194
Mayer, Laurence, 170
McCarthy, Jonathan, 187–8
McCloskey, Deirdre, 146–47
McCulley, Paul, 192
McDonough, William, 170
medieval cathedrals, 31
Meissner, Larry, 138
meltdown, 138, 140, 150, 209
financial market, 204
Menger, Carl, 13, 168, 196
Menger’s explanation, 14
mergers, 70–71, 159
Metropolitan Life Insurance Company Tower set, 34
microeconomics, 91, 94, 200
Middle East, 17, 82
milk, 5, 55–57
Mill, John Stuart, 13
Minsky, Hyman, 43
Mises, Ludwig von, 9, 14, 62, 89, 111, 118–20, 122, 131–32, 134–35, 147–48, 163, 168, 196, 223, 226
Mises’s theory, extended, 14
Mizrach, Bruce, 19, 87–90, 94
models, 17, 20, 91, 93, 97, 99, 146, 187, 215
monetarists, 59, 167, 215
monetary inflation, 6, 116, 137, 181, 184, 195–96, 201, 229
monetary policy, 9, 21, 49, 52, 61, 106, 111, 118, 122, 124, 128, 131–33, 135, 143, 156, 167, 187, 189, 192–93, 209, 212, 215–17, 222, 226–27, 231, 234–35
monetary pumping, 157, 160, 193, 198–99, 201, 204
monetary stimulus, 44, 144
money
easy, 40, 185
new, 48, 59, 61–62, 125, 163–64, 193, 195, 199
money and banking, 124, 230, 234, 236
money supply, 15, 44, 48, 59–61, 63, 65–66, 131, 158, 168, 181, 185–86, 196, 199, 203–4, 212, 216, 228, 230, 239
mortgages, 66, 177, 194–95, 197–98, 203–4
variable-rate, 178, 184, 203, 208
Mundra, Kusam, 19, 87–90, 94
Murdoch, Rupert, 82
Murphy, Robert, 7, 226, 231
Murray, Charles, 151–52, 167
MZM, 199
NASDAQ, 138, 150, 163–64, 173, 199
National Banking Acts, 34–35, 225
national debt, 66, 127, 144, 232, 238–39
Nazism, 120
NBER (National Bureau of Economic Research), 92, 102–3
New Deal, 37, 120, 123, 205, 213
new-era thinking, 112, 114, 117, 138–42
New Record Skyscraper, 17–18
Nixon, Richard, 124, 128, 132–35, 199, 230
Norman, Mike, 146
office space, 15, 34, 70, 73, 75, 97
Ohanian, Lee E., 213
oil, price of, 29, 82, 226–27
Okun, Arthur, 9, 121–23, 213
opening ceremonies, 26, 35, 84
panic
financial, 32, 87, 90
national, 114
nineteenth-century, 34, 225
reduced, 235
Papadakis, Maria, 138
paradigm, new, 152, 154, 160, 177–79
Park Row Building, 34, 93
Patrick, Hugh, 138
Paul, Ron, 135
Peach, Richard W., 187–88
Petronas Towers, 33, 38–39, 92
Philadelphia Stock Exchange Housing Sector Index, 17, 207, 209
Phillips Curve, 94
Pierre, Andrew J., 138
Piketty, Thomas, 66, 127
plucking model, 215–16
policies
beggar-thy-neighbor, 60
cheap-credit, 203
current, 21
easy-money, 185, 226
fiscal, 29, 123, 132, 192, 213, 216, 222
inflationary, 163
quantitative-easing, 232
stable-dollar, 117, 120
tax, 204
policy errors, 54, 213
policy recommendations, 134, 219, 222
policy responses, 204–5, 209, 217
Powell, Benjamin, 15–16
predictability, decreased, 235
predicting changes, 29
predicting stock market bubbles, 158
prediction game, 120
predictions
bad, 21
consumer price-inflation, 228
economic, 149
far-reaching, 160
forceful, 158
important, 165
making, 146
pattern, 20
qualitative, 147
skyscraper-based, 81
price controls, 38, 124, 126, 134
price indexes, 116, 118, 202
prices
inflated, 187, 204
median, 180, 193–94
overliquidated, 113
profitable, 73
securities, 154
share, 161
unsustainable, 194
price-to-earnings ratio, 50, 166
printing money, 45, 53, 59–60, 135
Producer Price Index, 182, 228
production processes, more-roundabout, 46, 52, 59
profits, 50–51, 55, 67, 70, 74, 79, 116–17, 168, 187
prosperity
false, 171
great economic, 115
perpetual, 139
present, 113
prosperity forever, 163
protectionism, 142, 213
beggar thy neighbor, 141
psychological changes, 106, 187, 203
psychological consequences, 186, 205
psychology, 43, 50, 159
social, 91, 143, 173, 217, 219
Pulitzer Building, 33, 93
purchasing power, 65, 118, 128, 235
quantitative easing (QE), 49, 144, 216–17
railroads, 25, 40
Rappoport, Peter, 35
rates
discount, 68–69, 98, 217
federal funds, 79, 197, 217, 236
higher interest, 53, 62, 73, 79, 178, 184
high interest, 69, 164
housing bubble interest, 197
long-term, 208
lower, 50, 79, 184, 197–98
market-determined, 20
market-determined interest, 45, 53, 222
natural, 50–51, 63, 68, 76, 124, 225
short-term, 197, 208
rational expectations, 7, 216, 224–25
RBCT (real business cycle theory), 20, 43, 46, 50–51, 219, 222
real estate, 16, 25, 51, 63, 69, 138, 164, 183, 193, 198, 201, 228, 230
real estate bubble, 138, 177, 193, 195
real estate cycles, 26
real estate prices, 10, 49, 177, 195, 197–98, 224
recession
inevitable, 123
inflationary, 133–34
last, 227
long, 162
painful, 162
severe, 36, 200
record
current world, 21
heights, 33
new world, 39, 78
record-breaking skyscrapers, 15, 18, 26, 31, 36, 67, 71–72, 81, 84–85, 88, 90–91, 93, 95, 105
building of, 90, 105
new, 19, 82
next, 35, 83
record heights, 17, 26, 32, 34, 71, 82, 84
recovery, economic, 123, 175, 178
redistribution, 48, 50
regulations, 11, 35, 222, 233, 239
Reisman, George, 158–59, 167
relative prices, 48, 60, 62, 67, 168
Reno, Janet, 163
Renoir, Pierre-Auguste, 49
Ricardo, David, 13
risk, 25, 44, 73, 115, 117, 153–54, 168, 170, 190, 192, 206, 238
Ritenour, Shawn, 236
Robbins, Lionel, 86
robots, 49
Rockwell, Llewellyn, 135, 167, 169
Roll, Richard, 29–30
Rosnick, David, 191
Rothbard, Murray, 37, 60, 98, 111, 131–35, 155, 163, 168, 212–13, 223
Rouanet, Louis, 61
roundabout investment projects, 196
roundabout methods, 46, 49, 69
roundaboutness, 55
roundabout production, 46, 55, 57
roundabout production processes, 46, 56, 68, 70, 106, 196, 221
roundabout results, 55
Rubin, Robert, 162
Rubinstein, Dana, 97
Salerno, Joseph, 22, 35, 37, 133, 212–13, 218, 221, 224, 229, 231–32, 234–37, 239
sales, 44, 47, 50–52, 74, 98, 188, 198, 238
Salo, Jackie, 83
Samuelson, Paul, 145
Saudi Arabia, 17, 21, 82–83
savers, 14, 44, 50, 57, 128, 228
savings
amount of, 45, 202
increased, 51
private, 154
real, 106, 160
reduced, 53, 79
stymied, 174
unused, 218
savings account, 79
savings deposits, 199
savings results, 52
scarcity, 20, 141
Schumpeter, Joseph, 43
Schwab, Charles, 113
Schwartz, Anna J., 35, 37, 216
science, economic, 146, 148, 165
Sears Tower, 33, 38
Sechrest, Larry, 211
Sennholz, Hans, 160–61, 167
services, 47, 73, 127, 129, 141, 181
Shakespeare, William, 148
Shanghai Tower, 78
Shapiro, Jesse M., 27
Shapiro, Robert, 170
Shard Building, 77
Shiller, Robert, 43, 151, 166–67, 189–90
shocks, technological, 44, 46, 54
shopping mall, largest, 17
short-term interest rates, 29, 208
Shostak, Frank, 156–57, 167, 180, 193–94
silver, 65, 237
Silver-certificate, 124
silver coins, 124, 230
silver mines, 48, 60
new, 61
Singer Building, 34
Skousen, Mark, 120
skyscraper boom, 18
skyscraper construction, 19, 31, 34, 66–68, 85, 88
techniques, 80
Skyscraper curse
dubbed, 105
entrepreneurs, 62
signal, 17, 21, 82, 84, 92
struck, 17
theory, 91
Skyscraper Index, 13, 17–21, 26–28, 30–31, 34–36, 39–41, 43, 54, 84, 86–89, 93–94, 96, 99, 102, 105–6, 229
original, 31, 36
theory, 18–19
skyscraper records, 38, 81
new, 10
skyscrapers
completion of, 17–18, 89, 225
cycles, 40
early, 67
first, 32, 39
height, 19, 87, 89–90, 94
highest, 83
new luxury-condo, 49
new-record, 33
new record setting, 17
new world-record-height, 26
new world-record-setting, 82
record setting, 89
record-setting, 21, 91
super, 68
tallest, 26
then-tallest, 34
world-record setting, 17
world’s tallest, 13, 26, 34, 81, 83
Smith, Adam, 13, 60
Smoot-Hawley tariff, 37
Somary, Felix, 120
speculation, 25–26, 43, 75, 117, 154, 174, 190, 198
Spiegel, Matthew, 170
stagflation, 33, 38, 81, 126, 132, 134, 197, 212–13, 222
stock market
booms, 36, 166
bubble, 112, 118, 137, 143, 148–49, 154–56, 158, 165–66, 168, 177, 190
prices, 9, 52, 115–16, 146, 148, 153, 159–60, 162, 181, 200, 224
stock market crash, 37, 116, 148, 166, 178, 212, 216
stock stocks
bank, 228
best-performing, 125
cheap, 153
common, 115, 152
home-builder, 208–9
internet, 165
overvalued, 152
selling, 174
worst-performing, 125
string
actual-economic-growth, 216–17
potential-economic-growth, 216–17
potential growth, 215
string theories, 7, 215, 217, 219
string theorist, 216
Sumner, Scott, 59
Super Bowl, 28, 173
supply-side economics, 112, 187
taller buildings, 32, 69, 73, 87, 97, 99
tallest buildings, 27, 35, 73, 77, 83, 88, 90, 102–3, 112
tall skyscrapers cause, 10
Tatsuno, Sheridan, 138
technological change, 43, 46, 50–51, 141, 159
technologies
advanced, 56, 73
clean-room, 52–53
financial, 51
house-building, 201
new, 40, 46, 50–51, 55–56, 67, 71, 122
technology
bust, 146, 148
height, 138–39, 163–65
shocks, 51, 170, 203
stock bubble, 192
stocks, 124, 191
terrorism, 27, 170, 205
Thornton, Mark, 9–11, 15–18, 60–61, 70–71, 83, 89–92, 94, 97, 112, 188, 195, 206–7, 211, 218, 235
Trump, Donald, 239
Trump Building, 37
Twin Towers, 38
Tyson, Laura D’Andrea, 140
unemployment
double-digit, 34, 93, 124
high, 212
rising, 162
unemployment rate, 51, 121, 123, 126, 175
United Arab Emirates, 17, 39
valuation measures, 166
traditional, 153
valuation measures austrian, 167
Vedder, Richard, 21
Voigt, Kevin, 18
Volcker, Paul, 135, 197
wages, 38, 50–52, 59, 65–66, 98, 121, 134, 168, 193, 213, 222, 233, 238
Wall Street, 33, 37, 49, 65, 112, 114, 125, 145–46, 150, 161, 165, 169–70
Wall Street Journal, 28, 113, 146, 149–50, 194
Wanniski, Jude, 164, 167
wealth, 49, 61, 65–66, 68, 116, 158, 165, 224, 229, 236
redistribution of, 48, 50, 61
Wicksell, Knut, 196
Willis, Carol, 26
Wilson, Woodrow, 213
Woods, Thomas, 5, 117, 214, 235
Wool, Christopher, 49
Woolworth Building, 31, 35–36, 92–93, 103, 106
world-record-breaking skyscrapers, 78, 83, 105
next, 39
world’s tallest buildings, 18, 26–27, 36, 38, 40, 68, 71, 74, 87, 90
World Trade Center, 27, 38, 77, 87, 121
World Trade Towers, 33, 92
World War I, 33, 36, 75, 93, 112, 116, 214, 225, 230
World War II, 36, 74, 120, 123, 129, 143, 199, 202, 212
Zarnowitz, Victor, 32, 169
Zysman, John, 140–42
The Skyscraper Curse: And How Austrian Economists Predicted Every Major Economic Crisis of the Last Century
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